David Ortiz has been horrific this season. His current line of .185/.284/.287 isn’t just bad; it’s not worthy of being in a MLB lineup, let alone the DH spot. (I remember him going late in my fantasy draft and some calling it a steal. Ha.) The explanation some have come up with for his fall from grace? He’s off steroids now! Which, in this day and age, is the easy, kneejerk reaction. But even if David Ortiz is off steroids, that doesn’t account for this sort of a drop in his numbers. These are catastrophic drops, not a tapering of home runs levels to a more normal, pre-steroid age count.
Today, Bill Simmons — of course it’s Simmons — runs this theory by us:
How many Latin players have been exposed for lying about their ages in the past few years? Hell, one of Papi’s best friends — Tejada — was found to have cut two years off his birth certificate when he was 17, er, 19 … you get the point. Watching Papi flounder now, I’d believe he’s really 36 or 37 (not 33) before I’d believe PEDs are responsible. In a recent game in Minnesota, he couldn’t catch up to an 89 mph fastball. Repeat: 89 mph!
That’s what happens to beefy sluggers on their way out: Their knees go, they stiffen up, bat speed slows and, in the blink of an eye, they’re done. Beefy sluggers are like porn stars, wrestlers, NBA centers and trophy wives: When it goes, it goes. You know right away.
So that’s my theory. I think he’s old(er).
This makes a bit more sense than the hooting and hollering from the PED crowd. But my theory? It’s a combination of the two. David Ortiz is older than 33, and some of the large numbers he put up during his reign in Boston — 54 homers in 2006, for instance — were likely the result of some PEDing.
And now David Ortiz will homer in 50 straight games, disproving all of our silly theories.