Purdue no longer has Robbie Hummel. Illinois is still riding the bubble. Wisconsin lacks star power. Michigan State is rising at the right time; this is how Tom Izzo teams roll.
But if there’s one that has the potential for a deep tourney run this March, bet on Ohio State.
For starters, there’s Evan Turner, the likely Player of the Year and No. 2 pick behind John Wall in this summer’s NBA Draft. As we’ve seen countless times throughout history, a star player can put you on their back in the tourney and prime you for a deep run. And Turner doesn’t just score; he’s a threat for a triple-double every time he steps onto the court.
But there’s plenty of other reasons why Ohio State has a chance of being a great team in the tourney when we judge them against their Big Ten peers. First off, this team takes high-percentage shots. Outside of Jon Diebler — who’s a terrific three-point shooter; his true-shooting percentage of 63.1 ranks him 48th in the country — all their guards can slash to the hole for an easy two at the rim.
The Buckeyes have the third-highest eFG percentage in the country at 56.1 percent, and their offensive efficiency ranks 10th. And their length and athleticism helps them on the defensive end, as their defensive efficiency ranks 20th in the country.
This team also takes care of the ball, as their turnover percentage is 17.4 percent — good for 30th among all DI teams.
If there’s one way exploit this team, it’s to get into their bench. They only go six-seven deep on most nights, so if the opponent can get them into some foul trouble, it could work to their advantage.
Am I saying this team is going to make the National Championship game? No. Am I saying they’re going to make the Final Four? Eh, maybe. Elite Eight? They’ve got a good shot. Sweet Sixteen? Anything less would be a disappointment.
For now, this team will enter the tournament as a very deadly 2, 3 or 4 seed, one that has the best chance of any team in the Big Ten to strike some fear into its opponents.
All stats courtesy of KenPom.