Rain Man Theater: Which Professional League’s Playoff Admission Format Is The Least Fair?
Most fans, at some point or another, have been fans of on-the-bubble teams; the teams that are just barely good enough to make a run at the final playoff slot. When they manage to sneak in, we’re happy. When they’re edged out, we instinctively accuse the unfair nature of the league’s playoff system. This happened in the NFL last year, when Patriots fans whined that their 11-5 team missed the postseason and the 8-8 Chargers made it. It also happened in the 2007-08 NBA season, when fans of the Warriors (48-34), Blazers (41-41) and Kings (38-44) were on the outside looking in at the Eastern Conference’s Hawks (37-45).
So, between the NBA, NFL and Major League Baseball, which league’s playoff system tends to cheat the most objectively qualified teams out of playoff spots over recent years? Raw data (represented by blue bars in the graph below) places MLB far ahead of the pack, but I’ll argue that within context (red), the NBA isn’t far off despite its relatively simple admission system.
EDIT: A firm handshake is extended to commenter David Munk. I originally failed to count two snubbed NBA teams, and managed to mis-calculate the snubbed MLB teams entirely. Here is the corrected graph.

I’ll explain the math below.




People tend to do crazy things when their team is on the verge of greatness. “Oh, dude: I’m going to totally get a tattoo commemorating my team of choice’s historic run. Would you also like to get ink on your body to remember such an occasion?” (
I’ve never bought a ticket off of Stubhub, but I know people that have. And, it’s never really much of a pleasurable experience: They’re a ticket brocker, they jack up prices, people pay anyway and then they complain about it. But if you’re looking for a ticket to a game or a concert, they likely have it. Powerful, Stubhub is.